Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.