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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Atlanta
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Cisneros (7', 33')
Moreno (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kappelhof (37')
Holt (44'), Besler (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, July 10 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-3 Real Salt Lake

Considering both Atlanta and Real Salt Lake have looked leaky at the back, goals are to be expected at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points, but we feel that the visitors will edge an entertaining contest on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
61.41% (-2.548 -2.55) 20.38% (0.627 0.63) 18.2% (1.916 1.92)
Both teams to score 57.32% (1.894 1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (0.546 0.55)38.76% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (0.572 0.57)61.07% (-0.575 -0.58)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)12.17% (0.53 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.19% (-1.134 -1.13)37.81% (1.13 1.13)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (2.535 2.54)34.73% (-2.539 -2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (2.59 2.59)71.46% (-2.596 -2.6)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 61.41%
    Real Salt Lake 18.2%
    Draw 20.38%
Atlanta UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.654 -0.65)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.427 -0.43)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.611 -0.61)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.47% (-0.403 -0.4)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.355 0.36)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.434 0.43)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.251 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 18.2%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Salt Lake

Atlanta United
Draw
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
Real Salt Lake
63.6%
44
Head to Head
May 25, 2019 2am
Sep 23, 2018 12am
Atlanta
2-0
Salt Lake
Gressel (37'), Villalba (61')

Sunny (43')
Apr 23, 2017 2.30am
Salt Lake
1-3
Atlanta
Rusnak (69')
Beckerman (21')
Villalba (9'), Asad (46'), Vazquez (96')
Carmona (38'), Garza (77'), Almiron (84'), Kann (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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