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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
DC United

Austin
3 - 0
DC United

Bruin (11'), Driussi (21'), Hedges (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Klich (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Austin
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 2-2 DC United
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-1 DC United

 Austin have been one of the poorest sides in MLS since the league resumed following the Leagues Cup break, and there will be immense pressure on an Oaks side without Zardes and Sebastian Driussi to find a way to keep their top-nine hopes alive. DC United have picked up draws during their two most recent MLS outings, and we are expecting Rooney's men to do the same on Wednesday night to essentially end Austin's playoff aims.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for DC United had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawDC United
49.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)66.73% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.64% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)30.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.69% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 49.88%
    DC United 26.35%
    Draw 23.76%
Austin FCDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 49.88%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 5.7%
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.35%

How you voted: Austin vs DC United

Austin FC
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
DC United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 1am
DC United
2-3
Austin
Kamara (27'), Robertha (41'), Hopkins (73'), Gressel (78'), Samake (87')
Kamara (45+7')
Ring (35'), Cascante (60'), Pereira (70')
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