Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
49.74% ( 1.08) | 24.08% ( -0.38) | 26.18% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.13% ( 1.11) | 45.86% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.82% ( 1.04) | 68.17% ( -1.05) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( 0.86) | 18.5% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.29% ( 1.44) | 49.71% ( -1.45) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% ( 0.03) | 31.4% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.22% ( 0.04) | 67.78% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |