We said: Austin FC 1-2 Seattle Sounders
Austin were so close to scrapping a point at Dallas last time out before an added-time winner for the Hoops, and you question whether Los Verdes will be able to bounce back quickly from that disappointment.
Seattle ended their losing streak at Minnesota on the weekend, and we are backing them to earn their first victory in any form since July 9 at Q2 Stadium in Texas.
How to watch
You can watch Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.