Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colorado Rapids in this match.
Result | ||
Colorado Rapids | Draw | Austin FC |
46.5% ( -2.26) | 25.3% ( -0.04) | 28.2% ( 2.3) |
Both teams to score 53.55% ( 1.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.28% ( 1.67) | 49.72% ( -1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.27% ( 1.48) | 71.73% ( -1.48) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% ( -0.3) | 21.39% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% ( -0.47) | 54.38% ( 0.46) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% ( 2.71) | 31.87% ( -2.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% ( 2.98) | 68.32% ( -2.99) |
Score Analysis |
Colorado Rapids | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.84) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.73) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |