Major League Soccer

Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Austin

Rigoni (7' og.)
Edelman (8'), T (9'), Yearwood (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Driussi (44')
Urruti (82'), Lima (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-2 Portland
Monday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 Austin FC

New York Red Bulls and Austin have struggled to get going in recent weeks and will both head into Thursday's matchup in search of a pick-me-up. Austin's performance on the road has been nothing to write home about and we see the Red Bulls coming out on top at the Red Bull Arena.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. Austin FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Austin FC
55.35% ( -0.13)	23.62% ( 0.05)	21.02% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 51.32% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.97% (

-0.1)

49.03% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89% (

-0.09)

71.11% (

0.09)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

-0.08)

17.57% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.88% (

-0.15)

48.12% (

0.15)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.26% (

0.03)

37.74% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.48% (

0.03)

74.52% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 55.35%

Austin FC 21.02%

Draw 23.62%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.35%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.02%