Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.