Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austin FC in this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | New York City FC |
47.54% ( 7.24) | 23.33% ( -1.97) | 29.12% ( -5.27) |
Both teams to score 60.86% ( 4.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.6% ( 6.94) | 40.4% ( -6.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.22% ( 6.79) | 62.77% ( -6.79) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( 6.04) | 17.25% ( -6.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.43% ( 9.67) | 47.57% ( -9.67) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.09) | 26.45% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.11) | 61.63% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.99) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 1.26) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.94) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.85) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.87) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.65) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.58) Other @ 4.02% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -1.28) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -1.62) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.38) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.83) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -2.13) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -1.41) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.62) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |