Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw has a probability of 22.8% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.67%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it is 1-2 (5.89%).
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
54.72% ( 0.36) | 22.75% ( 0.15) | 22.53% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( -1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.47% ( -1.25) | 43.52% ( 1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.08% ( -1.24) | 65.91% ( 1.24) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% ( -0.32) | 15.81% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.02% ( -0.59) | 44.98% ( 0.59) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% ( -1.15) | 33.21% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% ( -1.28) | 69.81% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |