Major League Soccer

Jun 20, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
2 - 2
Orlando City

Vargas (12'), Bronico (77')
Byrne (90+1')
Arfield (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGuire (64'), Torres (81')
McGuire (27'), Torres (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 DC United
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 Orlando City

With a sensational record at the Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte will be overwhelming favourites for Wednesday night's clash, but we feel that Orlando could cause the hosts some issues. That being said, we do not expect the Crown to suffer only their second MLS defeat in nine matches, with Smith's side having enough quality to secure maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	Orlando City
43.2% ( 1.43)	26.35% ( 0.14)	30.45% ( -1.57)

Both teams to score 51.56% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.09% (

-1.12)

52.91% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.48% (

-0.97)

74.52% (

0.96)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

0.22)

24.31% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31% (

0.31)

58.69% (

-0.31)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-1.66)

31.88% (

1.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68% (

-1.95)

68.32% (

1.94)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 43.19%

Orlando City 30.45%

Draw 26.34%

Charlotte FC	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.19%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.45%