Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.