Major League Soccer

May 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Orlando City

Costa (70'), Espinoza (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lynn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 4-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Orlando City

Meetings between San Jose and Orlando have often yielded plenty of goals, and we expect this weekend's clash to be no different. Having said that, we can also see the teams cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Orlando City
50.16% ( -0.04)	23.41% ( -0.02)	26.42% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.37% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.29% (

0.13)

42.71% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.89% (

0.13)

65.11% (

-0.13)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86% (

0.03)

17.14% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.63% (

0.06)

47.37% (

-0.06)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.45% (

0.11)

29.55% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.43% (

0.14)

65.57% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 50.16%

Orlando City 26.42%

Draw 23.41%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.42%