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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 9.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Charlotte FC

Atlanta
2 - 3
Charlotte FC

Almada (35'), Silva (76')
Almada (36'), Lennon (51'), Muyumba (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (40' og.), Abada (56', 68')
Urso (50'), Bronico (83'), Uronen (87'), Kahlina (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Atlanta
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Charlotte FC

 Despite defeating Inter Miami in midweek, Sunday's clash is uncertain due to Atlanta's disappointing home record and Charlotte's awful road form. Thus, erring on the side of caution seems the best bet with a draw extending the away side's winless sequence to four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.04%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawCharlotte FC
55.04% (0.174 0.17) 21.54% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 23.42% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.66% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11% (0.199 0.2)36.89% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93% (0.218 0.22)59.06% (-0.221 -0.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.56% (0.119 0.12)13.43% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (0.243 0.24)40.4% (-0.246 -0.25)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.77% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)64.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 55.04%
    Charlotte FC 23.42%
    Draw 21.54%
Atlanta UnitedDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 55.04%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 23.42%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Charlotte FC

Atlanta United
41.2%
Draw
23.5%
Charlotte FC
35.3%
17
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
1-3
Charlotte FC
Sanchez (86')
Ibarra (71'), Lennon (87')
Gutman (51')
Meram (18', 57'), Swiderski (52' pen.)
Sobocinski (59'), Gaines (90+8'), Byrne (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Charlotte FC
0-3
Atlanta
Wiley (5', 45+2'), Araujo (12')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
Charlotte FC
1-0
Atlanta
Alcivar (11')
Bronico (74'), Fuchs (74'), Lindsey (85')

Ibarra (83')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 8.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Charlotte FC
Martinez (59' pen.), Mulraney (90+6')
Campbell (87'), Alonso (90+1')
Armour (66')
Ortiz (30'), Franco (36'), Bronico (76'), Rios (84')
> Preview
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