Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.