Major League Soccer

May 5, 2024 at 2.25am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
0 - 1
New England

Arigoni (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chancalay (62')
Kessler (22'), Lima (50'), Chancalay (72'), Ivacic (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New England Revolution

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: New England 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 New England Revolution

Neither team heads into this weekend with much confidence due to how they have started this season, and that could lead to a cautious performance from them. While they each need to start picking up three points sooner than later, it would not be a surprise to see them play out to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	New England Revolution
42.43% ( -1.3)	23.45% ( -0.11)	34.12% ( 1.42)

Both teams to score 62.97% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.31% (

38.68% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.01% (

1.04)

60.99% (

-1.04)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.37% (

-0.14)

18.63% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.06% (

-0.24)

49.93% (

0.24)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

1.27)

22.61% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76% (

1.84)

56.23% (

-1.84)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 42.43%

New England Revolution 34.12%

Draw 23.45%

Chicago Fire	Draw	New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.43%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.12%