Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
42.43% ( -1.3) | 23.45% ( -0.11) | 34.12% ( 1.42) |
Both teams to score 62.97% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.31% ( 1) | 38.68% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.01% ( 1.04) | 60.99% ( -1.04) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( -0.14) | 18.63% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% ( -0.24) | 49.93% ( 0.24) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( 1.27) | 22.61% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( 1.84) | 56.23% ( -1.84) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |