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Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
New England Revolution

NY City
2 - 0
New England

Ojeda (57'), Fernandez (90+3')
Freese (45+6'), Parks (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chancalay (22'), Harkes (43'), Kessler (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New York City FC 2-0 New England Revolution

While both sides have had their share of flaws this season, NYCFC have looked much more cohesive than the Revs, particularly on the defensive side, and we believe the Pigeons will be able to bury their opportunities on Saturday and collect a much-needed victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.

Result
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
57.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 20.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 21.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.54% (0.007000000000005 0.01)58.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.010000000000005 0.01)38.56% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.11%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 57.44%
    New England Revolution 21.6%
    Draw 20.95%
New York City FCDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.11%
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 57.44%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.95%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 21.6%

How you voted: NY City vs New England

New York City FC
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
New England Revolution
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
New England
Chanot (81')
Cufre (90+1')
Boateng (43'), Gil (85')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Jul 9, 2022 6pm
NY City
4-2
New England
Magno (10' pen.), Castellanos (44' pen., 82'), Pereira (49')
Castellanos (36'), Haak (70')
Bou (18', 77')
Gil (84')
Farrell (41')
Dec 1, 2021 12.30am
New England
2-2
NY City
NY City win 5-3 on penalties
Polster (27'), Buksa (54')
Castellanos (18'), Rodriguez (58'), Morales (84')
Castellanos (113')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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