Major League Soccer

May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Teran (85')
Czichos (24'), Gutierrez (45'), Navarro (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rossi (30'), Ramirez (55'), Russell-Rowe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 Columbus Crew

With renewed confidence from a return to winning ways in the week, we anticipate the defending MLS champions being too strong for their struggling hosts in Illinois and taking another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Columbus Crew
36.27% ( 0.04)	24.73% ( 0.03)	39% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.7% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

-0.12)

44.43% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

-0.12)

66.8% (

0.11)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

-0.03)

24.1% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

-0.04)

58.39% (

0.04)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

-0.09)

22.67% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

-0.13)

56.31% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 36.27%

Columbus Crew 39%

Draw 24.72%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 36.27%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 39%