Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41

Oct 21, 2021 at 1am UK

Pizza Hut Park

Dallas
2 - 3
Los Angeles

Hollingshead (10'), Jara (45')
Hedges (59'), Hollingshead (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Arango (33' pen., 75', 79')
Cifuentes (67'), Musovski (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Dallas win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Los Angeles FC
36.35%	24.29%	39.36%

Both teams to score 60.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.64%

42.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.23%

64.77%

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89%

23.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03%

56.97%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.42%

21.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32%

54.68%

Score Analysis

Dallas 36.35%

Los Angeles FC 39.36%

Draw 24.29%

Dallas	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.21% 1-0 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.35%	1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29%	1-2 @ 8.59% 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.36%