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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 39
Oct 16, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
3 - 1
Earthquakes

Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
66.75%18.17%15.08%
Both teams to score 58.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.87%34.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.99%56.02%
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.53%9.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.2%31.8%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.28%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.75%
    San Jose Earthquakes 15.08%
    Draw 18.17%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 7.6%
3-0 @ 7.34%
4-1 @ 4.48%
4-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.93%
4-2 @ 2.32%
5-1 @ 2.11%
5-0 @ 2.04%
5-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 66.75%
1-1 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 5.01%
0-0 @ 3.36%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.17%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-1 @ 3.48%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 15.08%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
10.0%
Draw
20.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
70.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 3am
Aug 9, 2021 12am
Gameweek 24
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Cowell (39'), Ebobisse (76')
Murillo (10'), Rossi (78')
Nov 5, 2020 4am
Gameweek 24
Earthquakes
3-2
Los Angeles
Atuesta (28' og.), Wondolowski (37'), Espinoza (72')
Rios (21'), Yueill (52')
Yueill (61')
Blessing (23'), Rossi (90+3')
Ginella (33'), Murillo (66')
Sep 28, 2020 3.30am
Sep 27, 2020 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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