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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Minnesota United

Dallas
5 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Musa (17', 38', 62'), Ferreira (75'), Farrington (90')
Illarramendi (52'), Farrington (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hlongwane (33'), Dotson (57'), Trapp (90+7' pen.)
Boxall (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 St Louis City
Sunday, June 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 Minnesota United

Both teams have struggled at the back this term, and we expect neither to come away with a clean sheet here. That said, we are also tipping Dallas to just about get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
51.34% (-0.297 -0.3) 23.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 25.12% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.19600000000001 0.2)44.41% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.189 0.19)66.78% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)17.34% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)47.72% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (0.33499999999999 0.33)31.48% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (0.384 0.38)67.86% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 51.34%
    Minnesota United 25.12%
    Draw 23.54%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.34%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.12%

How you voted: Dallas vs Minnesota Utd

Dallas
40.9%
Draw
36.4%
Minnesota United
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
Oct 18, 2022 2.30am
First Round
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
(Aggregate 1-1 | Dallas win 5-4 on penalties)
Quignon (64')
Reynoso (53')
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-3
Dallas

Fragapane (20'), Arriaga (80')
Fragapane (69')
Boxall (55' og.), Velasco (56'), Ferreira (58')
Arriola (4'), Farfan (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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