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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Minnesota United

Dallas
5 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Musa (17', 38', 62'), Ferreira (75'), Farrington (90')
Illarramendi (52'), Farrington (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hlongwane (33'), Dotson (57'), Trapp (90+7' pen.)
Boxall (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 St Louis City
Sunday, June 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 Minnesota United

Both teams have struggled at the back this term, and we expect neither to come away with a clean sheet here. That said, we are also tipping Dallas to just about get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
51.34% (-0.297 -0.3) 23.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 25.12% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.19600000000001 0.2)44.41% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.189 0.19)66.78% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)17.34% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)47.72% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (0.33499999999999 0.33)31.48% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (0.384 0.38)67.86% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 51.34%
    Minnesota United 25.12%
    Draw 23.54%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.34%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.12%

How you voted: Dallas vs Minnesota Utd

Dallas
Draw
Minnesota United
Dallas
40.9%
Draw
36.4%
Minnesota United
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
Oct 18, 2022 2.30am
First Round
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
(Aggregate 1-1 | Dallas win 5-4 on penalties)
Quignon (64')
Reynoso (53')
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-3
Dallas

Fragapane (20'), Arriaga (80')
Fragapane (69')
Boxall (55' og.), Velasco (56'), Ferreira (58')
Arriola (4'), Farfan (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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