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Major League Soccer
FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Dallas
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Ferreira (5'), Kamungo (88')
Jesus (69'), Ntsabeleng (90+3'), Ferreira (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savarino (68')
Rubin (49'), Vera (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 Real Salt Lake

 Having won their last outings, Dallas and Real Salt Lake head into the weekend looking to pick up successive wins for the first time this season. While Mastroeni's side have struggled for results on the road, the Hoops are unbeaten in three consecutive home games and we are backing them to come away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 64.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
DallasDrawReal Salt Lake
64.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 21.24% (0.0019999999999989 0) 14.73% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (0.017000000000003 0.02)48.88% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)70.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)14.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)42.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81% (0.018999999999998 0.02)45.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)81.08% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 64.02%
    Real Salt Lake 14.73%
    Draw 21.24%
DallasDrawReal Salt Lake
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 64.02%
1-1 @ 10.07%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 5.24%
1-2 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.73%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2am
Dallas
1-1
Salt Lake
Velasco (7')
Velasco (56')
Julio (69')
Loffelsend (36'), Chang (45')
Jul 24, 2022 3am
Salt Lake
0-1
Dallas

Ruiz (40'), Loffelsend (86'), Meram (86'), Glad (89')
Ferreira (14')
Velasco (22'), Obrian (85'), Ferreira (88'), Cerrillo (90+3'), Paes (90+6')
Oct 28, 2021 1am
Dallas
1-2
Salt Lake
Hedges (20')
Jara (57')
Kreilach (80'), Rusnak (90+1')
Sep 5, 2021 1am
Salt Lake
3-2
Dallas
Glad (42'), Menendez (54'), Rusnak (72')
Herrera (45+2'), Rusnak (65')
Jara (19'), Ferreira (80')
Obrian (25'), Burgess (49')
> Preview
May 23, 2021 1am
Dallas
2-2
Salt Lake
Jara (43' pen.), Hollingshead (84')
Ricaurte (24'), Bressan (69')
Rubin (20'), Kreilach (86')
Glad (89'), Herrera (90+2'), Rusnak (90+4')
> Preview
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