Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Dallas3 - 1LA Galaxy
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 LA Galaxy
Friday, October 21 at 3am in MLS Playoffs
Friday, October 21 at 3am in MLS Playoffs
We said: Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Last week's defeat to Minnesota came as a surprise to most as Dallas enjoyed an excellent 2022 season, but we think that they will put that right here. We are leaning more towards a Dallas victory, especially if Javier Hernandez is absent for the visitors.How to watch
You can watch Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
46.12% ( 0.08) | 24.8% ( 0.01) | 29.07% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( -0.11) | 47.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( -0.1) | 69.32% ( 0.1) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.01) | 20.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.05% ( -0.01) | 52.94% ( 0.01) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( -0.12) | 29.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.03% ( -0.15) | 65.96% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Dallas 46.12%
Los Angeles Galaxy 29.07%
Draw 24.8%
| Dallas | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.12% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.07% |
How you voted: Dallas vs LA Galaxy
Dallas
55.6%Draw
33.3%Los Angeles Galaxy
11.1%9
Form Guide
