Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
45.85% ( 1.96) | 23.5% ( 0.02) | 30.65% ( -1.97) |
Both teams to score 61.27% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% ( -0.94) | 40.27% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( -0.98) | 62.64% ( 0.98) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( 0.42) | 17.86% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% ( 0.71) | 48.63% ( -0.71) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( -1.64) | 25.4% ( 1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.79% ( -2.31) | 60.2% ( 2.31) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |