Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
45.85% ( 1.96) | 23.5% ( 0.02) | 30.65% ( -1.97) |
Both teams to score 61.27% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% ( -0.94) | 40.27% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( -0.98) | 62.64% ( 0.98) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( 0.42) | 17.86% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% ( 0.71) | 48.63% ( -0.71) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( -1.64) | 25.4% ( 1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.79% ( -2.31) | 60.2% ( 2.31) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |