Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FC | 13 | 16 | 26 |
2 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
30.47% (![]() | 23.53% (![]() | 46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.47% (![]() | 40.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.09% (![]() | 62.91% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.36% (![]() | 25.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.46% (![]() | 60.54% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.09% (![]() | 17.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.3% (![]() | 48.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 7.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.47% | 1-1 @ 10.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 9.24% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |