Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
69.7% | 17.5% | 12.8% |
Both teams to score 54.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.62% | 36.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.48% | 58.52% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.61% | 9.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.41% | 31.59% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.84% | 40.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.2% | 76.8% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.92% 3-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-0 @ 4.92% 4-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.46% 5-0 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-2 @ 0.97% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.42% Total : 69.7% | 1-1 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.39% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.62% Total : 12.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |