Major League Soccer

May 29, 2022 at 1am UK

National Sports Center

Minnesota Utd
0 - 1
NY City

Dibassy (31'), Trapp (36'), Taylor (39'), Rosales (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Callens (29')
Andrade (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

Last Six:

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: New England vs. Minnesota Utd
Monday, June 20 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Colorado Rapids	14	2	18
5	Minnesota United	14	0	18
6	Houston Dynamo	14	-2	18

We said: Minnesota United 0-1 New York City FC

New York have not played enough away games to get a true sense of how they are doing on their travels this year, but while in good form they should make the most of Sunday's opportunity to improve their record on the road. Despite these two teams usually being involved in high-scoring matches than a 1-0 result, Sunday could be a tight game given the visitors unfamiliarity away from home, and Minnesota's inconsistencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	New York City FC
31.89% ( 1.21)	25.17% ( -0.05)	42.94% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 56.05% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.61% (

0.71)

47.39% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.39% (

0.66)

69.61% (

-0.66)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.89% (

1.16)

28.11% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

1.44)

63.79% (

-1.44)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0.23)

22.04% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

-0.35)

55.37% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 31.89%

New York City FC 42.94%

Draw 25.17%

Minnesota United	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.89%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.94%