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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Austin FC

Houston
2 - 0
Austin

Bassi (71' pen.), Herrera (86')
Franco (59'), Carrasquilla (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vaisanen (19'), Fagundez (52'), Lundqvist (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: New England 3-0 Houston
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Austin
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Austin FC

 Houston have had two weeks to build some chemistry since their defeat against the Revs, but they are coming up against a team in Austin who appear to have more scoring depth than a year ago and will be in a foul mood following their CCL elimination.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
42.11% (0.128 0.13) 24.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 33.18% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.08% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (0.256 0.26)44.95% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (0.246 0.25)67.3% (-0.245 -0.25)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (0.169 0.17)21.39% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (0.26 0.26)54.37% (-0.26 -0.26)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (0.082000000000008 0.08)26.12% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (0.109 0.11)61.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.11%
    Austin FC 33.18%
    Draw 24.71%
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.11%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 33.18%

How you voted: Houston vs Austin

Houston Dynamo
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Austin FC
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2022 2am
Austin
3-1
Houston
Fagundez (15'), Urruti (57'), Ring (70')
Lima (66')
Carrasquilla (11')
Hadebe (14'), Lundqvist (62'), Herrera (80')
Apr 30, 2022 6.30pm
Houston
1-2
Austin
Ferreira (5')
Carrasquilla (47'), Hadebe (50'), Parker (88')
Pereira (39'), Driussi (66')
Driussi (36'), Ring (62'), Felipe (90+6')
Oct 24, 2021 10pm
Austin
2-1
Houston
Maric (7' og.), Driussi (45+4')
Pereira (38'), Driussi (47'), Kolmanic (54')
Cascante (90+2' og.)
Ceren (11'), Vera (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30am
Houston
3-0
Austin
Dorsey (1'), Picault (24', 64')
Picault (39'), Lundqvist (52')

Pochettino (22'), Ring (44'), Berhalter (51')
Aug 5, 2021 2am
Austin
3-2
Houston
Pochettino (7', 45+1'), Dominguez (56')
Stroud (83')
Pasher (27'), Picault (86')
Dorsey (79')
Ceren (20')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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