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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Cincinnati
2 - 1
Houston

Santos (19'), Nwobodo (48')
Barreal (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Schmitt (45+2')
Artur (10'), Schmitt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo look a much-improved side under the helm of Olsen, but FC Cincinnati have home advantage, and they are undefeated in the previous two meetings between the sides. As such, we expect a narrow home victory, with the game likely to be a high-scoring affair judging by both teams' results in pre-season.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawHouston Dynamo
54.23% (-0.757 -0.76) 22.06% (0.137 0.14) 23.71% (0.622 0.62)
Both teams to score 60.17% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (0.053000000000004 0.05)39.01% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.67% (0.053000000000004 0.05)61.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (-0.22699999999999 -0.23)14.41% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.68% (-0.436 -0.44)42.31% (0.439 0.44)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.545 0.55)29.7% (-0.544 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.656 0.66)65.76% (-0.654 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 54.23%
    Houston Dynamo 23.71%
    Draw 22.05%
FC CincinnatiDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.23%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 23.71%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Houston

FC Cincinnati
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2021 1.30am
Houston
1-1
Cincinnati
Pasher (3')
Figueroa (48'), Valentin (70'), Garcia (81')
Barreal (5')
Kubo (55')
Jul 7, 2019 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-2
Houston
Manneh (29'), Dally (38'), Ulloa (61')
Amaya (32')
Quioto (79' pen.), Hagglund (81' og.)
Elis (19'), Cabezas (25'), Struna (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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