Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
54.23% ( -0.76) | 22.06% ( 0.14) | 23.71% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 60.17% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.99% ( 0.05) | 39.01% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.67% ( 0.05) | 61.33% ( -0.05) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.59% ( -0.23) | 14.41% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.68% ( -0.44) | 42.31% ( 0.44) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( 0.55) | 29.7% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.24% ( 0.66) | 65.76% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.23% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 23.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |