Major League Soccer

Sep 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
3 - 1
New England

Quintero (37'), Picault (76' pen., 85')
Picault (51'), Ceren (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gil (63' pen.)
Farrell (31'), McNamara (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 New England Revolution

As inconsistent as the Revs have been throughout the regular season, they have a good track record of points in Houston recently, and we believe the extra motivation of being in the playoff hunt will carry them through against a Dynamo side who are not the best when it comes to creating scoring chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	New England Revolution
42.06% ( 0.01)	25.14% ( 0)	32.79% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.46% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

-0.01)

47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75% (

-0)

69.24% (

0.01)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71% (

22.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25% (

0.01)

55.74% (

-0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65% (

-0.01)

27.35% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.19% (

-0.01)

62.8% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 42.06%

New England Revolution 32.8%

Draw 25.14%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	New England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.06%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.8%