Major League Soccer

Oct 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
1 - 2
Houston

Zimmerman (90+6')
Bunbury (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ferreira (30' pen., 39')
Hadebe (48')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Nashville 3-3 America (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, September 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Houston
Monday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Nashville SC 3-0 Houston Dynamo

The Dynamo have conceded multiple goals in three straight road games, and having to contend with one of the frontrunners for MLS MVP in Hany Mukhtar will make their weekend task incredibly daunting. Not only is Mukhtar in fine form, but the Boys in Gold have rediscovered their defensive game, and that could spell bad news for Houston. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
61.76% ( 0.02)	20.63% ( -0.02)	17.61% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.23% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.06% (

0.08)

40.95% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.66% (

0.08)

63.34% (

-0.07)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25% (

0.03)

12.75% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.99% (

0.06)

39.01% (

-0.06)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3% (

0.04)

36.7% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.51% (

0.04)

73.49% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 61.76%

Houston Dynamo 17.61%

Draw 20.63%

Nashville SC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.81% 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.76%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.63%	1-2 @ 4.84% 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.61%