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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2025 at 12am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Inter Miami

Houston
1 - 4
Inter Miami

Lodeiro (85')
Ibrahim (27'), Awodesu (59')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Segovia (6', 45+2'), Allende (37'), Suarez (79')
Bright (15'), Redondo (73'), Redondo (73'), Cremaschi (90+4'), Alba (90+5'), Afonso (90+2'), Afonso (90+3')
Fray (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-2 Dallas
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Kansas
Wednesday, February 26 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Inter Miami

When all looks lost, Inter Miami always seems to find a way, and that should give them a psychological advantage over a Houston side that were their own worst enemy on matchday one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawInter Miami
46.71% (-0.68 -0.68) 24.79% (0.242 0.24) 28.5% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.482 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (-0.78 -0.78)47.36% (0.779 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (-0.727 -0.73)69.57% (0.72499999999999 0.72)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (-0.601 -0.6)20.33% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (-0.967 -0.97)52.72% (0.966 0.97)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)30.42% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)66.63% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 46.71%
    Inter Miami 28.5%
    Draw 24.78%
Houston DynamoDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.5%

How you voted: Houston vs Inter Miami

Houston Dynamo
0.0%
Draw
11.5%
Inter Miami
88.5%
26
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 1.30am
Final
Inter Miami
1-2
Houston
Martinez (90+1')
Krivtsov (16'), Allen (19'), Yedlin (32')
Dorsey (24'), Bassi (33' pen.)
Escobar (12')
Apr 23, 2023 1.30am
Apr 3, 2022 2.55am
Inter Miami
1-3
Houston
Higuain (66' pen.)
Quintero (49'), Picault (57' pen., 90+3')
Oct 10, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 16
Inter Miami
1-0
Houston
Morgan (57' pen.)

Quintero (37')
Apr 11, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
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