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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
LA Galaxy

Houston
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Ponce (44'), Steres (90+11')
Bassi (10'), Raines (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pec (90+6' pen.)
Paintsil (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Houston
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Austin
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy have come up with more than a few clutch results already this season, and while we have our doubts over whether they will win this match given their away record, we do feel that they will do enough to avoid defeat and secure the top seed in the West. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
56.19% (0.36199999999999 0.36) 21.25% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 22.55% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 61.55% (-0.567 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (-0.52 -0.52)36.52% (0.521 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.33% (-0.569 -0.57)58.67% (0.572 0.57)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)12.96% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.55% (-0.13 -0.13)39.45% (0.132 0.13)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.601 -0.6)29.28% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.745 -0.74)65.24% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.19%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 22.55%
    Draw 21.25%
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.164 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.8% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.25%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 22.55%

How you voted: Houston vs LA Galaxy

Houston Dynamo
20.0%
Draw
26.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
53.3%
15
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Houston
Pec (44'), Puig (60')
Brugman (90+4')
Blessing (18')
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
0-0
Houston
Edwards (34')
Steres (38'), Caicedo (55'), Quinones (64'), Artur (90+8')
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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