We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 St Louis City
Houston Dynamo will be backing themselves to return to winning ways this weekend as they take on a St Louis side who have failed to win any of their last five away matches. The Orange Crush have won their last four home games across all competitions and we see them scraping a narrow victory in this one.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.