Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
52.25% ( -3.33) | 22.19% ( 0.66) | 25.56% ( 2.68) |
Both teams to score 61.84% ( 0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.25% ( -0.29) | 37.75% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.01% ( -0.31) | 59.99% ( 0.31) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.39% ( -1.15) | 14.61% ( 1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.29% ( -2.26) | 42.71% ( 2.27) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% ( 1.95) | 27.58% ( -1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% ( 2.45) | 63.1% ( -2.44) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.17) Other @ 4.25% Total : 52.25% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.5) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.23) Other @ 3.74% Total : 25.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |