Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Kansas City.