Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Atlanta United |
36.92% ( -1.31) | 24.77% ( 0.35) | 38.31% ( 0.96) |
Both teams to score 58.58% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.39% ( -1.68) | 44.61% ( 1.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.03% ( -1.64) | 66.97% ( 1.64) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% ( -1.44) | 23.83% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.99% ( -2.11) | 58.01% ( 2.11) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( -0.26) | 23.1% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.05% ( -0.38) | 56.95% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.92% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 63 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 55 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 53 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 43 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 36 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 33 |
10 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 32 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 32 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 31 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 50 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 49 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 47 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 43 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 39 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Dallas | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 29 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 18 |