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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Atlanta United

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Atlanta

Martinez (59' pen., 75')
Cremaschi (24'), Ruiz (71')
Negri (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutman (90+2')
Lennon (48'), Sanchez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United

 Inter Miami's form has picked up as of late, while Atlanta United's has dropped off, so we think the most likely result is a draw. Games involving Atlanta have generally included a lot of goals, so it would not be a surprise if it is an end-to-end encounter, with both teams getting on the scoresheet.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
36.92% (-1.311 -1.31) 24.77% (0.348 0.35) 38.31% (0.961 0.96)
Both teams to score 58.58% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-1.68 -1.68)44.61% (1.677 1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-1.643 -1.64)66.97% (1.641 1.64)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-1.44 -1.44)23.83% (1.437 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-2.109 -2.11)58.01% (2.108 2.11)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)23.1% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.378 -0.38)56.95% (0.376 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 36.92%
    Atlanta United 38.31%
    Draw 24.76%
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.389 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.513 0.51)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.334 0.33)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.31%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Atlanta

Inter Miami
42.3%
Draw
34.6%
Atlanta United
23.1%
26
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
2-0
Inter Miami
Araujo (4'), Martinez (61')

Mota (25')
Mota (29')
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
Campana (28'), Duke (64')
Mabika (55'), Yedlin (74'), Marsman (84'), Rodriguez (86')
Cisneros (13')
Lennon (17')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 42
Atlanta
2-1
Inter Miami
Araujo (59'), Martinez (74')
Walkes (21'), Guzan (90+5'), Torres (90+5')
Higuain (32' pen.)
Figal (24'), Gonzalez Pirez (37'), Chapman (55'), Leerdam (57'), Higuain (67')
Sep 30, 2021 12am
gameweek 34
Atlanta
1-0
Inter Miami
Martinez (78' pen.)

Gonzalez Pirez (24'), Matuidi (34'), Gibbs (48'), Chapman (89')
May 9, 2021 6pm
gameweek 5
Inter Miami
1-1
Atlanta
Morgan (77')
Gregore (6'), Gonzalez Pirez (70'), Chapman (80'), Azcona (90+4')
Martinez (9')
Moreno (22'), Lopez (62'), Torres (90')
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