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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Atlanta United

Toronto
2 - 2
Atlanta

Laryea (43'), Servania (90+4')
Bernardeschi (63'), Osorio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Giakoumakis (4'), Chol (76')
Chol (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-1 Atlanta United

 Since winning the World Cup with Argentina last December, Almada has been a force to the reckoned with in MLS, and we expect he will give the Toronto backline fits with his ability to find space and pick out their attacking players. As solid as the Reds have been defensively, they do not have a difference-maker like Almada in the middle of the field, and their finished product is still missing.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
44.88% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 31.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.56% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.62% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01)65.02% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)19.19% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)50.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 44.88%
    Atlanta United 31.08%
    Draw 24.03%
TorontoDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.08%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Rossetto (60')
Ibarra (56'), Etienne (64')
Bernardeschi (52')
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Hernandez (39')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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