Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.94% ( -2.37) | 23.43% ( 0.73) | 23.63% ( 1.64) |
Both teams to score 55.34% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.65% ( -1.42) | 45.36% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.31% ( -1.38) | 67.69% ( 1.38) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% ( -1.34) | 17.1% ( 1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.7% ( -2.43) | 47.3% ( 2.43) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( 0.69) | 33.24% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.14% ( 0.75) | 69.86% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |