Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.