Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.