Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
35.71% ( -0.12) | 24.35% ( 0.02) | 39.94% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.27% ( -0.1) | 42.73% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% ( -0.1) | 65.13% ( 0.11) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.11) | 23.62% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( -0.16) | 57.71% ( 0.17) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.54% ( 0.01) | 21.46% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.51% ( 0) | 54.49% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |