Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
47.74% ( -0.21) | 21.5% ( 0.1) | 30.76% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 68.87% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.64% ( -0.42) | 30.36% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.38% ( -0.51) | 51.63% ( 0.51) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.58% ( -0.22) | 13.42% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.63% ( -0.45) | 40.37% ( 0.45) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( -0.14) | 20.46% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% ( -0.23) | 52.93% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |