While St Louis have been very poor this season, they have delivered good attacking returns in recent weeks, netting nine goals in their last three matches in all competitions. Galaxy, on the other hand, have done their best work this season at home, while their away record is average at best.
There should be plenty of chances created at both ends in this match, but we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match.
0.11) 
-0.13) 
