Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Louis City in this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
39.16% ( 0.11) | 23.6% ( 0.02) | 37.25% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 63.01% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.13% ( -0.1) | 38.87% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.82% ( -0.11) | 61.18% ( 0.11) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% ( 0.01) | 20.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.55% ( 0.01) | 52.45% ( -0.01) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0.11) | 21.08% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% ( -0.17) | 53.9% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 63 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 55 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 53 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 43 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 36 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 33 |
10 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 32 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 32 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 31 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 50 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 49 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 47 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 43 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 39 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Dallas | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 29 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 18 |