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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
LA Galaxy

Portland
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Rodriguez (18'), Evander (39', 51'), Mora (80')
Zuparic (13'), Crepeau (45'), Ayala (52')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pec (45+3'), Paintsil (59')
Brugman (45+2'), Yoshida (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Portland
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy, despite their impressive season and top position in the Western Conference, have shown some vulnerability away from home whilst Portland Timbers, motivated by the need to secure a playoff spot and buoyed by their strong home form, will be eager to exploit LA Galaxy's recent away inconsistencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
45.93% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 22.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 66.37% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.17% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.68% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.34% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.1% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.6% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.7% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 45.93%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 31.78%
    Draw 22.29%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.21%
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.18%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: Portland vs LA Galaxy

Portland Timbers
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
33.3%
30
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2024 3.45am
LA Galaxy
3-2
Portland
Pec (38'), Puig (48'), Paintsil (58')
Nelson (90'), Berry (90+6')
Rodriguez (52'), Moreno (73')
Evander (14'), Chara (42'), Zuparic (62'), Miller (90+5'), Rodriguez (90+9')
Oct 1, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
3-3
Portland
Zavaleta (10', 45+1'), Costa (43')
Delgado (13'), Yoshida (54')
Moreno (5'), Zavaleta (38' og.), Mora (76')
Moreno (62')
Mar 25, 2023 8.30pm
Jun 18, 2022 10pm
LA Galaxy
1-1
Portland
Joveljic (88')
DePuy (37'), Grandsir (58'), Joveljic (89')
Chara (38')
Mabiala (10'), Fogaca (76')
Apr 3, 2022 9.30pm
Portland
1-3
LA Galaxy
Tuiloma (51')
Blanco (48'), Chara (90+2')
Bonilla (45+3')
Hernandez (9', 59'), Tuiloma (17' og.)
Raveloson (45+4'), DePuy (48'), Delgado (50'), Hernandez (57'), Vazquez (90+3')
Delgado (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Bills
@
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami33218473472671
2Columbus Crew33189669383163
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati33175115647956
4Orlando City331571158481052
5New York City FCNY City33148115447750
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC33139114337648
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls33111485347647
8DC United331010135267-1540
9CF MontrealMontreal331010134664-1840
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia33910146153837
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta33910144448-437
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3389163554-1933
14New England RevolutionNew England3394203568-3331
15Chicago Fire3379174059-1930

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy33197768482064
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles33187860421861
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake331511763471656
4Seattle SoundersSeattle33168950341656
5Houston DynamoHouston33149104538751
6Colorado RapidsColorado33155135957250
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd33147125448649
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver33138125147447
9Portland TimbersPortland331210116455946
10Austin FCAustin33109143646-1039
11Dallas33108155255-338
12St Louis City33813124959-1037
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3387185064-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3363244075-3521


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