Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.23%) and 1-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.21% ( -0.13) | 21.58% ( 0.04) | 28.2% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 66.65% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.5% ( -0.12) | 32.5% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.85% ( -0.14) | 54.15% ( 0.15) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.59% ( -0.08) | 13.41% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.64% ( -0.17) | 40.35% ( 0.17) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( -0) | 23.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.16% ( -0.01) | 56.84% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.21% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.72% 0-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |