Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
68.07% ( -0.02) | 17.62% ( 0.01) | 14.3% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.35% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.78% ( -0.01) | 33.21% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.03% ( -0) | 54.97% ( 0) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.07% ( -0) | 8.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.5% ( -0.01) | 30.49% ( 0.01) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.07% ( 0.01) | 35.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.29% ( 0.01) | 72.7% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-2 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.15% 6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 4.06% Total : 68.07% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.62% | 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 14.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 71 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 69 | 38 | 31 | 63 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 52 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 47 |
8 | DC United | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 40 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 40 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 48 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 61 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 47 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 46 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 38 |
12 | St Louis City | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 21 |