Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toronto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Toronto.