Los Angeles4 - 2LA Galaxy
Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90')
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Monday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
We said: Los Angeles FC 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy
These encounters have traditionally been high-scoring affairs with five or more goals in three of the last four competitive meetings between the two, and given the defensive struggles of each, we might be in for another goal fest this weekend. LAFC have not played up to their potential in recent outings, but the Galaxy have consistently dug themselves a deficit, and it will be a lot harder to overcome that against one of the top defensive units in MLS this season.How to watch
You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
66.19% ( 1.04) | 18.04% ( -0.46) | 15.77% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 60.69% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68% ( 1.12) | 31.99% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.44% ( 1.3) | 53.56% ( -1.3) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.97% ( 0.54) | 9.03% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.26% ( 1.29) | 30.74% ( -1.3) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( 0.04) | 33.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.1% ( 0.04) | 69.9% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.19% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.74% Total : 15.77% |
