The Galaxy became unglued last weekend, and although Vanney is an experienced coach who should be a calming presence, if things do not go their way in this one, there is no telling what they may do.
Nothing appears to be bothering LAFC right now, and even with a match played on Tuesday, they have so many weapons up and down this roster that we expect to see them to claim their first victory at Dignity Health Sports Park on Sunday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.