Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
31.33% ( -0.03) | 24.94% | 43.72% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.38% ( -0.01) | 46.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.11% ( -0) | 68.89% ( 0.01) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( -0.02) | 28.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( -0.03) | 63.77% ( 0.03) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.65% ( 0.01) | 21.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.69% ( 0.02) | 54.32% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |