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Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2023 at 3am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Inter Miami

Los Angeles
1 - 3
Inter Miami

Hollingshead (90')
Bogusz (2'), Palacios (76'), Murillo (79'), Bouanga (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Farias (14'), Alba (51'), Campana (83')
Yedlin (63'), Farias (72'), Gomez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-0 Nashville
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-3 Inter Miami

On paper, Los Angeles may be superior to Inter Miami in many statistical categories, but the Herons have one element that no other MLS club can boast, Lionel Messi. His presence has almost single-handedly turned the Miami fortunes around this season, while he has brought out the best in so many players on this team since arriving from Paris Saint-Germain, and we expect to see Messi and his former Barcelona teammates (Busquets and Alba) make all the difference for them on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 13.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawInter Miami
68.66% (-0.184 -0.18) 17.35% (0.084 0.08) 13.98% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.51% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (-0.211 -0.21)32.62% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (-0.248 -0.25)54.28% (0.244 0.24)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.36% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)8.64% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.2% (-0.233 -0.23)29.8% (0.229 0.23)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.04% (-0.012 -0.01)35.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.26% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)72.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 68.66%
    Inter Miami 13.98%
    Draw 17.35%
Los Angeles FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 68.66%
1-1 @ 7.78% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.35%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.025 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
0-2 @ 1.63% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 13.98%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Inter Miami

Los Angeles FC
23.0%
Draw
8.2%
Inter Miami
68.9%
61
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
Inter Miami
0-2
Los Angeles

Mo (29'), Lassiter (73'), Azcona (90+2')
Shea (45+2')
Opoku (45'), Tajouri (82')
Kim (11'), Sanchez (15'), Fall (62'), Henry (88')
Mar 1, 2020 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
Los Angeles
1-0
Inter Miami
Vela (44')
Atuesta (60'), Harvey (81')

Ulloa (63'), Powell (66'), Agudelo (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
15Chicago Fire3279163755-1830

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
11Austin FCAustin3199133444-1036
12St Louis City31713114658-1234
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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