MLS Playoffs | Conference Semi-Finals
Oct 21, 2022 at 3am UK
Banc of California Stadium
We said: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy (LAFC advances on penalties)
The Galaxy should be feeling pretty good heading into this encounter against the highest-scoring team in the Western Conference after shutting down Golden Boot winner Hany Mukhtar on Saturday.
Recent history is not in favour of the Supporters' Shield winners, but the Black and Gold have numerous players who have competed in the top competitions for both club and country, and that experience, along with a keeper who has saved six penalties in his career, we believe will be enough to propel them into the Western Conference Final.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 54.52% . A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.28%) . The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%) . The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result Los Angeles FC Draw Los Angeles Galaxy 54.52% 21.38% 24.1%
Both teams to score 63.12%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Los Angeles FC 54.52%
Los Angeles Galaxy 24.1%
Draw 21.38%
Los Angeles FC Draw Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 4.22% 4-1 @ 3.31% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.52% 1-1 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.38% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-1 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.73% Total : 24.1%
How you voted: TBC vs TBC
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